Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.005808 0.006145 0.006494 0.006885 0.007310 0.007760 0.008273
2026-01-11 0.005203 0.005687 0.006214 0.006832 0.007542 0.008338 0.009302
2026-01-18 0.004845 0.005411 0.006046 0.006819 0.007740 0.008816 0.010182
2026-01-25 0.004548 0.005164 0.005872 0.006757 0.007845 0.009158 0.010893
2026-02-01 0.004414 0.005088 0.005881 0.006897 0.008184 0.009790 0.011995
2026-02-08 0.004219 0.004922 0.005765 0.006867 0.008297 0.010131 0.012735
2026-02-15 0.004062 0.004791 0.005678 0.006861 0.008431 0.010498 0.013527
2026-02-22 0.003881 0.004618 0.005529 0.006761 0.008427 0.010672 0.014053
2026-03-01 0.003723 0.004466 0.005395 0.006671 0.008428 0.010843 0.014579
2026-03-08 0.003614 0.004371 0.005330 0.006665 0.008538 0.011169 0.015356
2026-03-15 0.003433 0.004175 0.005122 0.006456 0.008349 0.011050 0.015432
2026-03-22 0.003356 0.004111 0.005086 0.006478 0.008487 0.011414 0.016296
2026-03-29 0.003301 0.004077 0.005089 0.006555 0.008710 0.011924 0.017449
2026-04-05 0.003205 0.003981 0.005005 0.006505 0.008743 0.012142 0.018135
2026-04-12 0.003127 0.003909 0.004950 0.006493 0.008829 0.012446 0.018994
2026-04-19 0.003040 0.003820 0.004867 0.006435 0.008840 0.012629 0.019651
2026-04-26 0.003020 0.003822 0.004912 0.006566 0.009150 0.013318 0.021310
2026-05-03 0.002951 0.003753 0.004852 0.006538 0.009206 0.013584 0.022191
2026-05-10 0.002892 0.003698 0.004810 0.006532 0.009296 0.013914 0.023231
2026-05-17 0.002810 0.003607 0.004712 0.006439 0.009237 0.013975 0.023733
2026-05-24 0.002735 0.003523 0.004624 0.006355 0.009189 0.014054 0.024275
2026-05-31 0.002686 0.003476 0.004587 0.006350 0.009271 0.014370 0.025359
2026-06-07 0.002585 0.003352 0.004432 0.006154 0.009022 0.014062 0.025040